The Role of Surprise in Hindsight Bias: A Metacognitive Model of Reduced and Reversed Hindsight Bias
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چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Role of Surprise in Hindsight Bias A Metacognitive Model of Reduced and Reversed Hindsight Bias
Hindsight bias is the well researched phenomenon that people falsely believe that they would have correctly predicted the outcome of an event once it is known. In recent years, several authors have doubted the ubiquity of the effect and have reported a reversal under certain conditions. This article presents an integrative model on the role of surprise as one factor explaining the malleability ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Social Cognition
سال: 2007
ISSN: 0278-016X
DOI: 10.1521/soco.2007.25.1.165